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Define 'Public Opinion'.
The collective attitudes of citizens concerning a given issue or question.
What is 'Intensity' in public opinion?
How strongly people feel about a particular issue.
Define 'Manifest Opinion'.
The widely shared view on an issue that is openly expressed.
What is 'Salience' in public opinion?
How much an issue affects an individual personally.
Define 'Nonresponse Bias'.
Bias resulting when certain groups are less likely to participate in a poll.
What is 'Late Deciding' in polling?
The phenomenon of voters making their choices close to the election.
Define 'Polling Bias'.
A distortion in a poll's results that makes it unrepresentative of the target population.
Define 'Random Sampling'.
A method of poll selection that gives each person an equal chance of being selected.
Define 'Stratified Sampling'.
A variation of random sampling; the population is divided into subgroups and weighted based on demographic characteristics of the national population.
What is 'Margin of Error'?
A measure of the accuracy of a public opinion poll.
How can bad public opinion data affect policies?
Bad data can lead to the creation and implementation of ineffective or harmful policies.
How does public opinion affect policy decisions?
Politicians often consider public opinion when making policy decisions to maintain support and legitimacy.
What role does public opinion play in evidence-based policymaking?
Policies should be based on solid facts, not shaky polls, to ensure effectiveness and public trust.
Cause and effect: Carter's handling of the economy in 1980.
Cause: Perceived economic mismanagement. Effect: Shift in public opinion towards Reagan.
Cause and effect: High public support for a policy.
Cause: Strong public approval. Effect: Empowers officials to take action.
Cause and effect: Unreliable public opinion data.
Cause: Inaccurate or biased data. Effect: Distorted political discourse and misguided policies.
Cause and effect: Frustration with the political establishment (2016).
Cause: Widespread discontent. Effect: Trump's victory despite polls predicting otherwise.
Cause and effect: Ignoring specific demographics in polling.
Cause: Not accounting for key groups. Effect: Inaccurate predictions and campaign strategies.
Cause and effect: A major scandal.
Cause: Public outrage. Effect: A rapid shift in public opinion.
Cause and effect: Economic recession.
Cause: Economic hardship. Effect: Decreased approval for incumbent politicians.
Cause and effect: Increased media coverage of an issue.
Cause: More attention to a topic. Effect: Increased public awareness and concern.
Cause and effect: A successful political campaign.
Cause: Effective messaging and outreach. Effect: Increased public support for a candidate or policy.
Cause and effect: Increased political polarization.
Cause: Growing division between parties. Effect: More difficulty in finding common ground and passing legislation.