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Carrying Out a Test for the Slope of a Regression Model

Ava Garcia

Ava Garcia

8 min read

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Study Guide Overview

This study guide covers hypothesis testing for regression slopes using the t-distribution. It explains how to calculate the t-score, determine degrees of freedom, and interpret the p-value. The guide also provides decision rules for rejecting or failing to reject the null hypothesis and emphasizes writing conclusions in context. Finally, practice problems and exam tips are included.

AP Statistics: Hypothesis Testing for Regression Slope 🚀

Hey there, future AP Stats superstar! Let's nail down hypothesis testing for regression slopes. You've got this! 💪

T-Distribution for Slope Estimation

Key Concept

When the assumptions for linear regression are met, and the null hypothesis is true, the distribution of the slope estimate follows a t-distribution with n-2 degrees of freedom. This is a key concept! Remember n is your sample size.

  • This is because the slope estimate is a linear combination of the observations, and it's a result of the Central Limit Theorem. Think of it as the sampling distribution of the slope.

Calculating the T-Score

  • The t-score helps us understand how far our sample slope is from the null slope (usually zero). It's our way of measuring the evidence against the null hypothesis. ⛰️

  • Formula:

t=bβSEbt = \frac{b - \beta}{SE_{b}}

Where:

- *b* is the sample slope.
- *β* is the hypothesized population slope (usually 0).
- *SE<sub>b</sub>* is the standard error of the sample slope.
  • Degrees of Freedom: n - 2 (sample size minus the number of parameters estimated, which is 2 for a slope and intercept)

Understanding the P-Value

  • The p-value is the probability of observing a sample slope as extreme as (or more extreme than) the one we got, assuming the null hypothesis is true. 🚗

  • A small p-value means our sample is unlikely if the null is true, giving us evidence to reject it.

  • Example:

  • If your t-score is 2.0791 with 21 degrees of freedom, and you're doing a two-tailed test, the p-value might be around 0.05. This means there's about a 5% chance of seeing a sample like yours if the true slope was 0. - If our significance level is also 0.05, we would reject the null hypothesis.

T-distribution and p-value

*Image: Visual represe...

Question 1 of 10

When the assumptions for linear regression are met, and the null hypothesis is true, what distribution does the slope estimate follow? 🤔

Normal distribution

Chi-square distribution

T-distribution

F-distribution