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Setting Up a Chi Square Goodness of Fit Test

Ava Garcia

Ava Garcia

8 min read

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Study Guide Overview

This guide covers chi-square tests, focusing on the goodness-of-fit (GOF) test. It explains expected counts, the chi-square statistic, chi-square distributions, and degrees of freedom. The guide also details GOF test conditions (random, independence, large counts), provides example problems and practice questions, and offers exam tips.

AP Statistics: Chi-Square Tests - Your Ultimate Study Guide πŸš€

Hey there, future AP Stats superstar! Let's get you prepped and confident for the exam with this super-focused guide on Chi-Square tests. We'll break down the concepts, highlight key points, and make sure you're ready to ace it!

Expected Counts: What to Expect? πŸ€”

Key Concept

In a nutshell, expected counts are what we anticipate seeing in each category if the null hypothesis is true. Think of it as the baseline we're comparing our actual results against.

  • Null Hypothesis: This is the assumption we're testing – usually, it states there's no difference or relationship between variables.
  • Calculation: Expected Count = (Sample Size) x (Probability under Null Hypothesis)
    • Example: If you survey 100 people and expect a 50/50 split, the expected count for each category is 50. * Why they matter: They help us determine if our observed data is significantly different from what we'd expect by chance.

Chi-Square Statistic: Measuring the Difference πŸ“

The chi-square statistic quantifies how much our observed data deviates from our expected counts.

  • Formula: Ο‡2=βˆ‘(Observedβˆ’Expected)2Expected\chi^2 = \sum \frac{(Observed - Expected)^2}{Expected}
    • We sum the squared differences between observed and expected counts, divided by the expected counts, for each category.
  • Interpretation:
    • A large chi-square value means a big difference between observed and expected, suggesting the null hypothesis might be false.
    • A small chi-square value suggests the observed data is close to what's expected under the null hypothesis.
  • P-value: We use the chi-square statistic to calculate a p-value, which tells us the probability of getting our observed results (or more extreme) if the null hypothesis were true.
    • A small p-value (typically < 0.05) means our results are statistically significant, and we reject the null hypothesis.

Chi-Square Distributions: The Shape of Things πŸ“Š

Quick Fact

Chi-square distributions are always positive and skewed to the right.

Question 1 of 12

πŸŽ‰ If you're surveying 200 people and expect a 1/4 split among four categories under the null hypothesis, what's the expected count for each category?

25

40

50

100